Louis René Beres[*] [This essay is available in PDF at this link] Introduction In early May 2019, U.S. President Donald Trump—responding to Kim Jung-un’s latest round of missile tests—sought to reassure the American public. His seat-of-the-pants comments, however, were based entirely upon the presumed importance of his personal relationship with Kim Jung-un and had nothing … Continue reading Complex Determinations: Deciphering Enemy Nuclear Intentions